Now, why is it that the simple word “handicap” in betting circles can send punters running for the hills? Is it simply because that fewer favourites win in this type of race? We all know how the masses love their favourites don’t we!
This may be the reason but by knowing this simple betting system and using it wisely, handicaps are about to become the attractive betting medium you always knew they should be. This betting system will produce a steady stream of decent price winners allowing you to make at least £100 a day from small stakes if you take the time to master its selection process and apply the staking system below.
In order to make the selections you will need access to a racing publication or website. I do not recommend you use any other specialist newspapers or websites, most will not provide you with an accurate betting forecast which is vital for our needs. Any information referred to will have come from data obtained in the Racing Post.
SELECTION METHOD
Now as I explained, you are about to embark on a serious attempt to make our investments in handicap races pay and stop making our bookmakers of choice rich. And where do you think they make most money from… yes you guessed it, big fields in handicap races. So our first task of the day will be to eliminate all such races.
- Eliminate ALL races with 20+ Runners
I must admit, that when I go racing for entertainment these races are my favourites to watch, it is a terrific sight, but our primary aim here is to WIN, so don’t bet on those races, just sit back and enjoy watching the spectacle.
The next thing that you must now do is eliminate nearly all of the other Handicap races as well! In fact here is the biggest key – you must eliminate ALL races with more than SIX [6] runners.
- Eliminate ALL races with 6+ Runners
So that would leave you with handicap races where there are up to six runners. Now, you are not interested in fields of LESS than six runners either, but for a different reason. With less than six runners in a race you simply will not get any value for money. So in conclusion, you are only looking for any SIX RUNNER HANDICAP RACES as you go through the cards daily.
If there are not any that day, then quite simply there is no bet. If there is more than one qualifying race, back them both if the races are run at different times. If, by some unfortunate coincidence, the races are at the same time, select the race with the highest prize money.
The majority of six runner handicap races are won by the first, second or third horse in the betting forecast. This is a statistically proven fact; you know that the winner will, with incredible regularity, come from one of these three. But which one will it be?
You are probably thinking to yourself right now: “With my luck, even by narrowing it down like this, I am still bound to pick the wrong one “!
Well, simply by following a logical line of reasoning this HANDICAP SYSTEM takes all the guess work out of it for you.
Remember, you are after VALUE, so you should select the THIRD favourite in the betting forecast – EVERY TIME. Why? Because that horse is the better price and statistically, it has just as much chance of winning as the first and second forecast favourites, precisely the same, no more no less, so by selecting the third forecast favourite you are consistently going to get the best price and so, over a sustained period of time, it is CERTAIN to pay off.
In fact, you can expect an average price of 7/2 for the third forecast favourite. You will average out at 33% winners using this system, and at an average price of 7-2 this is beginning to sound very attractive.
However, this system gives you one other bonus as well that really makes it pay big for you.
Over a three year study for this betting system, the longest recorded losing run was only eight consecutive losers. So if you could develop an effective staking plan to go with this, you could have a very worthwhile proposition indeed.
STAKING ADVICE
It is mentioned above that there was a run of eight consecutive losses, it should be stressed though that this was not, by any means, the norm, in fact it was such a rare occurrence that it is perfectly possible to show a healthy profit simply by using level stakes.
However, if you wish to maximise your potential return with this HANDICAP SYSTEM it is suggested that you use the following staking method: 1, 1,2, 2, 3, 3,4, 4, 5, 5, reverting back to one point stakes after a winner.
You will see from the staking method below that there is allowance for a run of ten losses, even though the maximum ever reached was eight, this is merely a precautionary measure, it is doubtful it will ever be needed. However, if it is, simply return to 1 point stakes and progress again, you will soon recover your losses.
EXAMPLE 1:
RACE 1
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 1 PT STAKED – LOSE – 1 PT LOSS.
RACE 2
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 1 PT STAKED – LOSE – 1 PT LOSS. (MINUS 2 PTS)
RACE 3
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 2 PTS STAKED – WIN 4-1 – (8 PTS – 2 PTS) = 6 PTS PROFIT.
RETURN TO I PT STAKE.
N.B. To demonstrate just how effectively this staking method is when combined with our betting system, the next example of what a fairly typical poor run will look like, and how, by having decent priced winners virtually guaranteed, any possibility of incurring heavy losses is practically eliminated.
EXAMPLE 2:
RACE 1
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 1 PT STAKED – LOSE – 1 PT LOSS.
RACE 2
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 1 PT STAKED RACE 2 LOSE – I PT LOSS (MINUS 2 PTS)
RACE 3
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 2 PTS STAKED – LOSE – 2 PTS LOSS (MINUS 4 PTS)
RACE 4
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 2 PTS STAKED – LOSS – 2 PTS LOSS (MINUS 6 PTS)
RACE 5
3RD FORECAST FAVOURITE – 3 PTS STAKED – WIN 7/2 – (10.5 PTS – 6 PTS) = 4.5 PTS PROFIT
RETURN TO 1 PT STAKE
IMPORTANT NOTE
All you need to operate this simple HANDICAP SYSTEM successfully is to learn to exercise a little bit of patience when selecting your races. Do not be tempted to gamble on more, or less, than six runner handicaps just because you cannot find a qualifying race for a few days.
This system is tried and tested on six runner handicaps, if you stick to the selection process explained above, you will make consistent long term profits, and surely that is what you desire, isn’t it?
