Many long – time, political observers, have witnessed, numerous instances, where the Democrats, have seemed, to shoot themselves, in the leg, when it comes to, losing elections, they should have won! Since, at – present, President Trump’s favorable rating, is at an all – time low, and, polls are indicating, if the election were held, today, he would lose, we need to advise those, who would like to see his defeat, start taking this seriously, rather than making the mistake, of taking it, for granted, and proceeding, with, over – confidence! Unless/ until, the Democrats begin to look at the bigger – picture, and plan accordingly, realizing, they must unite, despite any comparatively, minor issues/ concerns/ ideologies, if they hope to make a needed, and necessary change, in the direction of this nation, they won’t be successful, in this quest! With that in mind, this article will attempt to, briefly, consider, examine, review, and discuss, 6 significant, relevant, realities.
1, Republican, Electoral College, advantage: As we’ve witnessed, twice, this century, simply receiving more popular votes, doesn’t make someone President. Because, of the nature of the Electoral College, where the smaller states, possess a significant advantage, proportionately, and these states, are often, called, Red States, and/ or, Republican! Therefore, Trump could lose the popular vote, again, as he did, in 2016, and narrowly win, certain, Swing States, and be reelected! If, Democrats take the election, for – granted, they will snap defeat, from the jaws of victory!
2. Will people vote their fears and prejudices?: Unfortunately, the reality often, is, many voters, when they get to the polling booths, vote – their – fears, rather than voting for the better candidate! Trump seems to know how to stoke – these – fears, and appeal, to his core supporters, effectively, by articulating a polarizing message!
3. Is Trump, out – of – control, or, Crazy as A Fox?: Don’t under – estimate this President, and, think, he’s simply out – of – control, when, it is entirely, possible, he has considered, his political approach, and what works best, for his personal/ political agenda, and/ or, self – interest, and, may, rather, be, Crazy As A Fox!
4. Beware of early polling, or National Polls: National Polls don’t really matter, because, Presidential elections are determined by the individual states! In addition, the only poll, which, really counts, is on Election Day! Early polls may differ, from the eventual outcome!
5. Will the Civil Unrest unify those against Trump, or will it let him, position himself, as the Law and Order, candidate?: While, the concerns of systemic racism, which have led to the current, civil unrest, are warranted, it seems apparent, Trump will attempt to position himself, as the Law and Order, candidate, stoking – the – fears, of those, he considers, potential supporters! Be careful of the fine – line, involved, and don’t play, into his hands, politically!
6. Voter Turnout: This election will depend, largely, on voter turnout, and whose supporters (and where), actually, vote! Don’t get trapped, in an overly idealistic way, or over – confident. If, Democrats don’t get all their potential voters, out, to the polls, the President will be reelected!
Wake up, America, and if you don’t want, four more years, like the current ones, be sure to vote, and urge others, to do so, also! If you take this election, for – granted, and proceed, in an over – confident manner, you won’t like the results, and/ or, ramifications!
