Bad Betting Beats

There were some truly terrible beats with this past weekend’s College football betting and NFL betting. A recap can be found below.

Northwestern sure looked like a good college football pick through three quarters at home against undefeated Michigan State. The Wildcats were 5.5 point underdogs on the betting line and quickly jumped out to a 17-0 first half lead and things looked absolutely great. Unfortunately, things did not end well. They were outscored 21-3 in the fourth quarter to lose the game outright, but it was the final Spartans touchdown that stung Northwestern bettors. Already up 28-27 thanks in large part to a converted fake punt attempt, Michigan State was able to take over at the Northwestern 31 yard line with just over one minute remaining after the Wildcats turned the ball over on downs. Rather than run the clock out, Spartans RB Baker broke loose on third down and scored a meaningless TD. Except it wasn’t meaningless for those who took Northwestern. After covering for the first 59 minutes of the game, the Wildcats now found themselves down 35-27 and did nothing on their final drive to break the hearts of everyone on the side of this bad beat. It’s now important to note that in their last two games, Michigan State has trailed at the half both times only to outscore both underdogs 51-10 in the second half while gaining nearly 500 yards total offense.

The worst NFL pick of the weekend had to go to anyone who had the San Diego Chargers minus three points over the New England Patriots, or if you bet it late you were probably able to get the Lightning Bolts minus just 2.5 points. This will become important later on. Well, as San Diego tends to do they played awful football through three quarters and found themselves down 23-6. Cue the comeback. After a quick score to cut the deficit to ten points, they recovered an onside kick and quickly scored again to trim the score to 23-20. With two minutes remaining, they held New England on a failed fourth down conversion attempt (typical Belichick) and this was after the Chargers thought they had returned a fumble for what would have been the game winning TD (officials got the call correct) and took over possession of the ball at midfield. They quickly advanced the ball to the Patriots 30 yard line only to stall. No problem though as they could kick a field goal, force overtime and still cover the spread. Of course, because this is the Chargers, there was a five-yard false start penalty and kicker Kris Brown boinked the ball off the upright.

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